Overview
- The Socialist Party will back the bill after securing concessions including suspending the pension reform, dropping a plan to double medical co-pays and raising the CSG on capital income.
- The government has tabled an amendment lifting the national health spending target to 3%, a key demand for the ecologist group whose stance could decide the outcome.
- Horizons and Les Républicains are leaning toward abstention and remain divided, with Edouard Philippe urging Horizons to abstain and some LR deputies wavering between abstention, support or opposition.
- The Rassemblement National and La France insoumise plan to vote against, and the government says it will not resort to a special law, ordinances or Article 49.3 to force the bill through.
- A rejection would not halt day‑to‑day health reimbursements, but it could complicate social‑security borrowing and push the 2026 deficit toward €29–30 billion; the revenue section already passed on December 5 in a low‑attendance vote.