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France’s Social Security at 80 Confronts Liquidity Warning and a Fight Over Its Future

Auditors now warn of liquidity risk driven by demographic aging and eroding payroll revenues.

Overview

  • Marking its 80th anniversary, the Sécurité sociale remains widely valued and credited with universal coverage and the near-eradication of elderly poverty.
  • The Cour des comptes has flagged a potential liquidity risk, citing a social-debt burden approaching €300 billion and warning that the accounts are on an uncontrolled trajectory.
  • Cades, created in 1996 to absorb social debt and once slated to end in 2009, now runs through 2033, pushing short-term financing strains onto day-to-day cash management.
  • Demographic pressures—fewer workers relative to retirees and lower fertility—are weakening the pay-as-you-go model and intensifying intergenerational inequities for younger cohorts.
  • Political camps are hardening, with the left and unions urging an expanded scope, including ideas like food-access coverage and funeral protections, while liberal critics press for spending restraint or market alternatives, even as polls show 88% attachment to the system.