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France’s EU-Harmonised Inflation Revised to 0.8% in October

A steeper drop in energy alongside cheaper fresh produce pushed the final reading below forecasts.

Overview

  • INSEE’s final data put France’s national CPI at 0.9% year on year in October, down from 1.2% in September and 0.1 point below the provisional estimate.
  • Month on month, prices edged up 0.1% after a 1.0% decline in September, underscoring short-term volatility.
  • Energy costs fell more sharply, with gasoline down 1.9% year on year after a 0.4% decline in September and electricity down 13.8%.
  • Food disinflation stemmed exclusively from falling fresh produce prices, while other items such as milk, cheese, eggs and meat saw renewed increases.
  • Services and tobacco remained the main inflation contributors, with services up 2.4% and tobacco up 4.1%, as overall inflation stayed below the ECB’s 2% target and under the 0.9% analyst consensus for HICP.