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France's Borrowing Costs Surge as OAT–Bund Spread Doubles

Investor doubts about France's large debt with a government lacking a parliamentary majority threaten to push borrowing costs across the euro area higher.

Overview

  • French 10‑year yields have risen toward 5 percent and the gap versus German bunds has widened to about 160 basis points, a shift markets say is rapid and severe.
  • Investors moved money into German bunds seen as safer, forcing France to pay a larger risk premium to sell new debt even after a €12 billion placement.
  • Rising French yields have fed higher Italian 10‑year rates and a weaker euro, with market commentators warning this could pressure other high‑debt euro‑area countries.
  • Economists and market strategists are calling on the European Central Bank to provide reassurance to calm markets, while analysts say political paralysis could leave fiscal choices constrained.
  • France enters this stress with roughly 119 percent of GDP in public debt and annual financing needs around €340 billion, a mix that makes higher rates likely to affect budgets, public services, and voters' options next year.