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France’s Bayrou Sets Sept. 8 Confidence Vote as Opposition Spurns Talks and Market Strains Grow

Rising bond spreads alongside a planned general strike underscore the stakes for Bayrou’s €44 billion austerity plan.

Overview

  • Prime Minister François Bayrou will seek a confidence vote on 8 September to secure backing for savings of roughly €43.8–44 billion in the 2026 budget.
  • President Emmanuel Macron has offered full support while Renaissance, led in the Assembly by Gabriel Attal, says it will vote as a bloc for the government.
  • Rassemblement National, LFI, the Greens, Socialists and Communists have declared they will vote no and have rejected Bayrou’s late bid for dialogue.
  • The package targets spending caps outside defense, a freeze of pensions and social benefits, and the scrapping of two public holidays, drawing union calls for a 10 September general strike.
  • French bond yields have risen with the spread over German Bunds above 80 basis points and bank shares under pressure, as investors weigh political risk and potential Eurozone spillovers; the turbulence also hangs over Macron’s talks with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz ahead of a Franco‑German ministerial in Toulon.