Overview

• Citepa projects 2025 greenhouse gas emissions at 366 MtCO2e, reflecting a 0.8% drop of just 3 MtCO2e from 2024.
• The forecasted reduction is half the 1.8% decline recorded in 2024 and far short of the government’s 5% annual target under its low-carbon strategy.
• Emissions rose by 0.2% in the first quarter as colder winter weather drove up residential and tertiary energy consumption.
• Sectoral forecasts show manufacturing and construction emissions falling by 2.4%, agriculture and forestry by 1.3% and energy production by 0.9%, with transport emissions unchanged.
• Réseau Action Climat criticizes recent rollbacks on ecological measures and warns they risk stalling France’s emissions trajectory.