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France’s 2025 Emissions Down 1.6%, Off 2030 Climate Path

The latest Citepa estimate highlights a gap with the SNBC-3 pathway that requires average annual cuts of 4.6% to 2030.

Overview

  • Citepa reports a 1.6% drop in greenhouse-gas emissions for 2025, slowing from 2024’s 1.8% decline and far below the national trajectory.
  • Buildings fell 1% and energy production 0.2%, with energy-sector progress easing after earlier swings linked to 2022 nuclear outages and a 2023 rebound.
  • Industry emissions decreased 3.4%, driven largely by lower activity in chemicals, cement and metallurgy rather than lasting decarbonization.
  • Transport fell 1.4% on reduced road fuel use; reaching the national pathway implies around −5% for transport by 2030, −7% for buildings and −4% for energy.
  • Citepa revised its midyear estimate from −0.8% to −1.6% and will release consolidated figures in June, as climate groups like RAC press for faster fossil-fuel exit; Germany also saw a similar slowdown at −1.5% per Agora Energiewende.