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France-Ukraine Rafale Plan Draws Scrutiny as Memo Lacks Contract

Observers say the declaration signals political intent without funding, schedule or legal obligations.

Overview

  • Emmanuel Macron and Volodymyr Zelensky signed a memorandum of intent that envisions Ukraine acquiring 100 Rafale fighters and SAMP-T air-defense systems.
  • Zelensky stated that Kyiv expects to receive 100 Rafales from France.
  • A French MEP and defense analysts characterized the announcement as a staged publicity move that does not bind either side.
  • Experts pointed to export prices exceeding $100 million per aircraft and manufacturer backlogs stretching past 2030 as major hurdles.
  • The Russian government repeated warnings that Western arms deliveries to Ukraine impede a settlement and will be treated as legitimate targets.