Overview
- Temperatures are forecast to peak Wednesday–Thursday (12–13 Nov) with widespread highs around 20–25°C and localized 27–28°C possible near the Pyrenees under foehn.
- Guidance from Météo France and other outlets indicates anomalies of roughly 5–10°C above seasonal norms that could challenge November records, including at altitude.
- Southwest hotspots include about 25°C expected in Pau, roughly 24°C in Biarritz and 22°C in Bordeaux, while the southeast should be less affected.
- Strong winds are expected to accompany the episode, generally 50–60 km/h and potentially 80–90 km/h in the South on Friday, with rain likely in the Cévennes and along an Atlantic front.
- Models suggest the warm spell may weaken from Friday as an Atlantic depression approaches, bringing a temperature drop in the Southwest and possible Saharan dust limiting peak heating.