Overview
- Economy Minister Roland Lescure said on LCI that 2025 GDP growth should reach at least 0.8%, up from the government’s previous 0.7% forecast.
- The revised guidance aligns with INSEE’s September projection of 0.8% for 2025 after it lifted its estimate from 0.6%.
- Lescure credited stronger corporate exports and investment for the improvement, citing trade data showing exports up 2.2% from June to September as imports fell 0.4%.
- He pointed to a strong third quarter and said only a very weak fourth quarter would push growth below 0.8%.
- The National Assembly has passed the revenue section of the 2026 Social Security budget and reinstated suspension of the pensions reform, with a decisive vote on the full text due Tuesday that Lescure warned could weigh on economic decisions if no budget passes.