Overview
- Météo‑France expects frequent rain through the first holiday week, with some areas receiving up to three times the usual weekly totals.
- The most substantial accumulations are forecast along a Charente‑Maritime to Italian‑Swiss border axis, affecting the centre‑west and the northern Alps.
- The strongest winds are forecast Thursday, with gusts near 100–110 km/h on Atlantic and Channel coasts and 80–100 km/h inland, and around 80 km/h possible in Île‑de‑France.
- Coastal impacts and localized flooding are being monitored, with high waves possible on exposed shores and vulnerable areas at risk where heavy bands persist.
- Conditions should stay changeable through midweek, a partial lull is likely from Friday, and regional breaks are expected in the southeast where a mistral could develop.