Overview

• After a dry spell, Météo‑France projects a markedly rainy first half of the school break, with widespread showers and periods of steady rain through Wednesday.
• Thursday is flagged for the strongest winds across the northern third and Atlantic/Manche coasts, with coastal gusts near 100–110 km/h and 80–100 km/h inland, including about 80 km/h in Île‑de‑France.
• The wettest axis runs from Charente‑Maritime toward the Franco‑Italian border and into the center‑west and northern Alps, with some forecasts warning weekly totals could reach up to three times normal.
• Authorities note regional contrasts: Corsica and parts of the Mediterranean may see breaks or showers, while the south‑eastern ranges face strong storms and a flood risk between Vaucluse and Alpes‑de‑Haute‑Provence.
• Temperatures stay seasonably mild early in the week before easing from Thursday, with a tentative trend toward a calmer, cooler weekend under lower‑confidence guidance.