Overview

• Météo France forecasts a sharp rise in temperatures from Wednesday next week as an Azores anticyclone strengthens over the country.
• European and American weather models project peak highs of 35–37 °C in southwestern France with isolated spots nearing 40 °C between August 6 and 8.
• A persistent north–south weather gradient will keep northern regions cooler and unsettled while the south experiences stable summer warmth.
• Seasonal outlooks assign a 50 percent chance of warmer-than-normal conditions from August through October amid long-term climate warming.
• Precipitation forecasts remain uncertain but ongoing deficits from spring and summer point to intensifying drought conditions into mid-August.