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Fragile Pause in Gulf Hostilities as Talks Continue and Powers Clash Over Ormuz Control

The temporary halt in USIran strikes has reopened technical talks but disputes over a Doha meeting, demining and who will set transit rules leave shipping and oil markets exposed.

Overview

  • US and Iranian officials say kinetic strikes have paused and technical discussions under the June 17 protocol are continuing to try to restore safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Washington and Tehran publicly disagree over a planned meeting in Doha, with President Trump saying a session will occur and Iran calling only for separate expert delegations, not bilateral high‑level talks.
  • France and Oman issued a joint call for free navigation and proposed joint demining and maritime surveillance, a plan Tehran has flatly rejected and warned others not to carry out.
  • Maritime traffic has slowed after recent attacks, with Kpler reporting a sharp drop in daily transits, and oil and gas prices rose as traders weighed the risk of renewed disruption.
  • Oman has taken a central mediator role and hosted the first IranOman Joint Committee on Ormuz, but core disputes over sovereignty, possible transit fees and post‑ceasefire management keep the situation precarious.