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Foreign Influence Clouds U.S. Election Prediction Markets

As U.S. election betting bans lift, concerns rise over foreign money impacting odds on platforms like Polymarket.

Overview

  • Mark Cuban criticizes Polymarket's election odds, citing foreign money and legal restrictions on U.S. participants.
  • Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have seen significant betting activity, with billions flowing in post-ban lift.
  • Kalshi's founder argues against manipulation claims, noting that their platform reflects similar odds to Polymarket.
  • Concerns persist about the validity of prediction markets as indicators, especially when dominated by non-American bettors.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission continues to challenge the legality of election betting in the U.S.