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Forecasts Split Over Whether Rain Will Hit Patriots‑Raiders at Gillette Stadium

The key disagreement over when showers will arrive could decide if the open‑air, 1 p.m. game is played in dry or wet conditions.

Overview

  • The Patriots and Raiders are scheduled to kick off at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 11, at Gillette Stadium, setting the fixed window meteorologists are trying to pin down.
  • Most forecasts agree on mostly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 60s for kickoff with only modest winds expected.
  • Official guidance from the National Weather Service and a low 2% in‑game chance from NFL Weather place rain after the game, while an alternate forecast projects about a 50% chance of afternoon showers.
  • If showers move in during the game, a wet football and slick footing could hamper snaps, catches and cuts, a concern specifically flagged for Patriots quarterback Drake Maye and the team’s ball security.
  • Timing remains the central uncertainty because models differ on when the remnant low will produce rain, so teams and fans should check updated hourly forecasts before heading to the stadium.