Overview
- Model projections cited by outlets point to New York City’s first measurable accumulations between December 9 and 14, with Central Park most likely around December 13.
- Localized first-snow timelines from wxcharts estimate JFK on December 9, LaGuardia on December 10, Long Island on December 11, Central Park on December 13, and the rest of the city on December 14.
- Early November snow is expected across northern and interior New York, with Syracuse historically near November 5 and persistent early-month snowfall also projected for Buffalo and Binghamton.
- Albany and higher Hudson Valley elevations typically see first significant snow from mid to late November, with the valley itself often notching initial events closer to early December.
- Seasonal outlooks anticipate below-average snowfall for the New York metropolitan area relative to its 25–31 inch norm, with analysts warning of travel disruptions, power outages, and agricultural impacts as early storms develop upstate.