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Forecasts Point to Santa Rosa Storm Soaking Argentina This Weekend, With Possible Cyclogenesis Near Buenos Aires

Forecasters cite a late‑August pattern with a documented 57% recurrence, prompting warnings about heavy rain, strong gusts and localized flooding.

Tormenta de Santa Rosa: cuándo llega a Mendoza este 2025
Se esperan lluvias en gran parte del país para este sábado 30 y el domingo 31 de agosto
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Overview

  • The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional projects precipitation starting Friday 29 in La Pampa, Río Negro and Neuquén, expanding on Saturday to Mendoza, San Luis, Córdoba, La Rioja, Catamarca, Tucumán, Santiago del Estero, Santa Fe and Entre Ríos, with Buenos Aires and CABA joining by the afternoon.
  • Rain and storms are expected in the AMBA from Saturday afternoon through Sunday night, and as of Tuesday there was no nationwide storm alert, so residents are urged to follow official updates.
  • Meteored and other analyses warn of a potential cyclogenesis on Saturday 30 over central Argentina that could intensify conditions in the Buenos Aires region.
  • Specialists anticipate widespread totals of 40–70 mm in central areas with locally higher amounts and warn about urban flooding, rapid river rises, strong winds and possible hail.
  • In Mendoza, local authorities forecast southerly winds, abundant rain and Andean snowfall over the weekend with a marked temperature drop.