Overview

• The National Hurricane Center has tagged a low-pressure area about 450 miles east-southeast of Bermuda with a 40% chance of developing into the Atlantic season’s first tropical depression within 48 hours.
• Satellite imagery indicates some organization in the system, but forecasts show it will weaken over cooler central Atlantic waters by June 24.
• In the Eastern Pacific, a separate disturbance off Central America carries a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression and is likely to deliver heavy rainfall to Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala.
• The Atlantic hurricane season, under way since June 1, is expected to be busier than normal with more than a dozen named storms and peak activity from mid-August through mid-October.
• Hurricane Erick made landfall in Oaxaca as a Category 3 storm this month, marking the Pacific season’s fifth named storm since it began on May 15.