Overview

• GFS and ECMWF models have repeatedly projected peak temperatures of 40–43 °C around July 20, an unprecedented frequency for Germany.
• The Deutscher Wetterdienst has issued official warnings for up to 30 l/m² of rain and local flood threats in Brandenburg as thunderstorms move across the northeast.
• High-pressure system Dorle is dominating the southwest this weekend, bringing clear skies and daytime highs near 30 °C.
• Medical experts warn that heat-related deaths are frequently overlooked, supported by an international study estimating about 2,300 fatalities during the late June heat wave.
• ECMWF forecasts for July and August indicate temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term average, heightening drought, wildfire and infrastructure strain risks.