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Forecast Models Point to Early November Snow in Scotland and a Mid-Month UK Storm

The Met Office signals an unsettled, windy pattern with frosty nights and cautions that confidence in specific outcomes later in November remains low.

Overview

  • GFS and WXCharts runs indicate the first notable snow on higher ground in northern Scotland from November 9, with intense rates over the Cairngorms around November 10–12.
  • Maps cited by regional outlets show hourly snowfall near 5cm on November 10 and up to around 10cm on November 12 in the Cairngorms, while other northern hills see lighter flurries.
  • Around November 12, chart visuals depict a broad system bringing heavy rain and strong winds to large parts of the UK, with temperatures near 0–1C in the Highlands and 7–9C in the Southeast.
  • Small, short-lived snow pockets may drift south on November 13–14 toward cities such as Birmingham, Cardiff, Southampton, London and Plymouth, with little likelihood of lasting accumulation.
  • Official guidance highlights an unsettled start to November with occasional gales and frosty nights, and forecasters note low confidence in the detail beyond mid-month with no widespread snow warnings issued for England or Wales.