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Overview
- After saying his candidacy had a 'price' for withdrawal, Flávio stated he would only stand down if Congress enabled Jair Bolsonaro to be 'free, in the urns.'
- Reporting indicates the bargaining centers on a congressional amnesty for the imprisoned ex-president, a move that faces political and procedural hurdles.
- A Datafolha poll released over the weekend showed only 8% prefer Flávio as the Bolsonaro-backed name and 50% reject voting for a candidate indicated by Jair Bolsonaro.
- Parties in the Centrão signaled dissatisfaction and discuss neutrality for 2026 as they treat São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas as the most competitive right‑wing option.
- Financial markets reacted negatively to Flávio’s launch, with equities falling and the currency under pressure, which he dismissed as a premature assessment.