Overview
- The PoderData/Aya poll published Thursday put Bolsonaro ahead 53% to 47% in the second-round contest with President Lula, widening the gap from the Oct. 1 first-round result.
- Since the first round, Bolsonaro has won endorsements from five right-leaning parties and allied conservative figures, strengthening his institutional backing for the Oct. 25 runoff.
- Bolsonaro has publicly said he will push a constitutional amendment to end presidential re-election and to extend terms to five years, and he signaled he would seek to apply the change to his own term if elected.
- Analysts point to widespread economic dissatisfaction and high abstention—about 33 million non-voters in the first round—as drivers of the shift, and polls show sharp divides by gender, age and income.
- Any constitutional change would require approval by Congress, and the new rightward tilt in the legislature raises the chance of a successful amendment while also making the move politically contentious and likely to reshape policy choices for ordinary Brazilians.