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Flu Admissions Surge in England as Drifted H3N2 Drives an Early, Intense Season

Health officials report strong vaccine performance alongside lagging uptake in key groups.

Overview

  • An average of 1,717 flu patients were in hospital in England each day last week, including 69 in critical care, according to NHS winter reports.
  • UKHSA says the dominant H3N2 subclade K evolved over the summer, likely lowering prior immunity and accelerating transmission.
  • Early UKHSA estimates show this season’s vaccine prevents hospital attendance by roughly 70–75% in children and 30–40% in adults.
  • Uptake remains below targets, with about 41% coverage in at‑risk under‑65s and around 70% in those over 65, prompting calls to get vaccinated now.
  • NHS leaders warn projections suggest 5,000–8,000 total hospitalisations this winter, as hospitals face staff shortages, discharge backlogs and a five‑day junior doctor strike from 17–22 December, with advice to wear a mask when unwell.