Florida’s Special Election Tightens in Historically Republican District

Democrat Josh Weil narrows the gap against Republican Randy Fine in a district Trump won by 30 points, raising questions about GOP momentum.

The April 1 special election in Florida's Congressional District has become unexpectedly competitive, with Randy Fine holding only a 4-point lead over Josh Weil according to recent polling.
Weil has outraised Fine significantly, bringing in over $10 million compared to Fine’s less than $1 million, fueling a robust campaign effort in the deep-red district.
Early voting data suggests strong Democratic turnout, a potential factor in a district where Republicans hold a significant voter registration advantage.
Republican officials, including Governor Ron DeSantis, have expressed concerns about Fine’s campaign performance and fundraising, though they still anticipate a GOP victory.
The race is being closely watched as a potential indicator of President Trump’s influence and the broader political landscape ahead of the 2026 midterms.