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Florida’s 6th District Special Election Tightens as Republicans Face Turnout Concerns

Democrat Josh Weil's strong campaign challenges Republican Randy Fine in a district seen as a test of Trump’s agenda and GOP voter mobilization.

(Left) Glendale Mayor Bryan Kennedy takes a selfie with (right) Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin at a canvassing event on Saturday February 22, 2025 in Glendale, Wis.
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Overview

  • Republican Randy Fine remains favored in Florida's 6th Congressional District, but polls indicate an unexpectedly close race against Democrat Josh Weil.
  • Weil has significantly out-fundraised Fine, garnering nearly $10 million compared to Fine's less than $1 million, bolstering Democratic hopes in the traditionally conservative district.
  • Republicans are concerned about low turnout among new GOP voters, whose participation has historically lagged in non-presidential elections, creating vulnerabilities in the party’s slim House majority.
  • Donald Trump has actively campaigned for Fine, emphasizing his loyalty to the administration and framing the election as crucial for advancing Trump’s second-term agenda.
  • The election, scheduled for March 31, 2025, is drawing national attention as a potential bellwether for broader political dynamics and a test of Democratic momentum following recent successes.