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3w ago

Florida's 6th District Special Election Tightens as GOP Faces Unexpected Challenge

Republican Randy Fine holds a narrow lead over Democrat Josh Weil in a district Trump won by 30 points, with implications for the GOP's slim House majority.

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(Left) Glendale Mayor Bryan Kennedy takes a selfie with (right) Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin at a canvassing event on Saturday February 22, 2025 in Glendale, Wis.
Democratic nominee Josh Weil speaks during a campaign stop at the Silver Springs Shores Community Center on March 26, 2025 in Ocala, Florida. Polls show that Mr. Weil is within the margin of error in defeating Republican Randy Fine to flip National Security Advisor Mike Waltz's old seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. The race for the 6th district is one of two Florida Congressional special elections set for April 1st.
A voter casts his ballot in Arlington, Virginia on September 20, 2024.

Overview

  • Democrat Josh Weil has significantly outraised Republican Randy Fine, with Weil amassing $10 million compared to Fine's under $1 million, intensifying GOP concerns.
  • Recent polls show Fine leading by a slim margin, with early voting data indicating a narrower Republican advantage than past elections in the district.
  • The race, seen as a referendum on Trump’s agenda, has drawn national attention as both parties test strategies ahead of the 2026 midterms.
  • Late-stage contributions from Elon Musk and Republican-aligned groups have bolstered Fine’s campaign, while grassroots enthusiasm continues to drive Weil's momentum.
  • Republicans aim to avoid underperformance in a district Trump won decisively in 2024, as a close result could signal broader challenges for the party.