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Florida Special Elections Test GOP Strongholds as Democrats Narrow Gaps

Randy Fine leads Josh Weil by 4 points in Florida's 6th District, but strong Democratic turnout and fundraising challenge Republican dominance ahead of April 1 elections.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks during a news conference at Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, on August 8, 2024.
A voting sign sits outside a polling station in Miami, Florida on October 21, 2024.
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Overview

  • Recent polling shows Republican Randy Fine with a narrow 4-point lead over Democrat Josh Weil in Florida's 6th Congressional District, a traditionally Republican stronghold.
  • Democrat Josh Weil has significantly outraised Fine, collecting $10 million compared to Fine's $987,000, highlighting GOP concerns over Fine's campaign performance.
  • Elon Musk's America PAC made late contributions to Republican campaigns in both the 6th and 1st District races, signaling heightened GOP efforts to secure these seats.
  • Early voting data indicates strong Democratic turnout, increasing competitiveness in districts where Republicans have historically dominated.
  • The outcomes of these special elections could impact the GOP's narrow House majority and serve as a measure of voter sentiment toward Trump-endorsed candidates.