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4w ago

Florida Special Election Tightens as GOP Faces Unexpected Challenge

Republican Randy Fine holds a narrow polling lead over Democrat Josh Weil in Florida's 6th District, with strong Democratic turnout and fundraising reshaping the race in a GOP stronghold.

Escambia County Democratic Party Chair Derrick Scott works at the party's office in Pensacola, Fla. on March 18, 2025. (AP Photo/Kate Payne)
Florida Sen. Randy Fine stands for the pledge of allegiance during opening day of the Florida legislative session Tuesday, March 4, 2025, in Tallahassee, Florida.
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Overview

  • Republican candidate Randy Fine leads Democrat Josh Weil by just 4 points in the latest poll, with the race unexpectedly close in a district Trump won by 30 points in 2024.
  • Democrat Josh Weil has outraised Fine nearly 10-to-1, collecting $10 million compared to Fine's under $1 million, enabling a robust advertising campaign and grassroots outreach.
  • Early voting data shows strong Democratic turnout, raising concerns among Republicans about potential underperformance in a traditionally safe seat.
  • Republican leaders, including Governor Ron DeSantis, have expressed frustration with Fine's weak campaign strategy and delayed advertising efforts.
  • The April 1 election is viewed as a test of Trump's influence and a potential indicator of broader voter dissatisfaction with the GOP ahead of the 2026 midterms.