Overview
- Moody entered Election Day with a slim polling lead in late October and early November averages, with surveys placing her roughly 49% to 45% over Nixon.
- Polls closed and county returns began after 7 p.m. local time on Tuesday, Nov. 3, and statewide preliminary results were scheduled for release at 8 p.m. Eastern, according to the Florida Department of State.
- The campaign has been defined by a clear policy split: Moody stressing law enforcement and tax measures and Nixon focusing on affordability, health care and support for families.
- Both campaigns have used accountability and identity attacks to sway undecided voters, with Democrats pointing to a Hope Florida grand jury report and Republicans highlighting Nixon’s ties to the Democratic Socialists of America.
- The winner will fill the remainder of Marco Rubio’s term through January 2029, and the race’s final outcome hinges on turnout, outstanding mail ballots and results from major metro counties while the governor and multiple U.S. House contests are also being decided.