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Florida Disturbance Invest 93L Holds 40% Chance of Storm Formation

The system is whipping heavy rain across central Florida with a westward track to the northeastern Gulf by midweek.

This NHC map highlights the area in question.
Invest 93L, seen in this weather satellite photo as a cluster of clouds off Florida’s Atlantic coast Tuesday morning, has produced downpours across the Sunshine State. The tropical disturbance is expected to push across the peninsula and emerge over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by Wednesday morning.
A tropical system could form later this week in the area shaded in orange above.
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Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center has increased the disturbance’s probability of developing into a tropical depression or storm to 40% over the next 48 hours and through Sunday.
  • The system is forecast to move west across the Florida Peninsula on Tuesday before entering the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by midweek under generally favorable environmental conditions.
  • Heavy rainfall from the disturbance produced over 10 inches of rain in Plant City on July 14 and forecasters warn of localized flash flooding risks across central Florida.
  • If the system strengthens into a tropical storm it will be named Dexter as the fourth storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
  • Forecasters expect enhanced Gulf winds to generate rough surf and dangerous rip currents along the coast later this week.