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3d ago

Flood Watches Spread Over Texas and New Mexico as Weekend Storms Loom in Midwest

The National Weather Service has issued flood watches across Texas and New Mexico through Sunday afternoon, forecasting heavy rainfall on already saturated soils that could trigger fresh flash floods.

Trees emerge from flood waters along the Guadalupe River on July 4, 2025 in Kerrville, Texas.
Flood waters left debris including vehicles and equipment scattered in Louise Hays Park on July 5, 2025 in Kerrville, Texas.

Overview

  • Flood watches cover western and central Texas and southeast New Mexico through Sunday afternoon, with meteorologists forecasting 2 to 5 inches of rain and isolated amounts up to 8 inches.
  • Soils already saturated from recent 1-in-1,000-year rainfall events heighten the risk of fresh flash flooding in vulnerable hill and burn-scar regions.
  • Severe thunderstorms threaten parts of the Midwest this weekend, placing about 19 million people from northern Missouri to western Michigan under hazardous storm warnings.
  • At least 120 people have died in Texas Hill Country and three in the mountain village of Ruidoso, New Mexico, with North Carolina still assessing its toll after Tropical Storm Chantal.
  • Climate experts note that a warmer atmosphere holds roughly 3 to 4 percent more moisture per degree of warming, making extreme downpours increasingly frequent and intense.