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Flood Watches Extend Threat to Texas and New Mexico as New Storm Looms

Forecasters predict 2 to 5 inches of rain with pockets of up to 8 inches over the weekend in already soaked regions.

Trees emerge from flood waters along the Guadalupe River on July 4, 2025 in Kerrville, Texas.
Flood waters left debris including vehicles and equipment scattered in Louise Hays Park on July 5, 2025 in Kerrville, Texas.

Overview

  • The National Weather Service has issued flood watches from western Texas into New Mexico for Saturday through Sunday, warning of 2 to 5 inches of rain and isolated totals up to 8 inches.
  • Soils and riverbanks remain saturated after four 1-in-1,000-year deluges in early July that caused at least 126 deaths across Texas, New Mexico, North Carolina and Illinois.
  • Recovery and search operations continue in the hardest-hit communities as officials caution that renewed rainfall could overwhelm local flood defenses and drainage systems.
  • Scientists say a warming atmosphere capable of holding 3 to 4 percent more moisture per degree Fahrenheit is driving an uptick in these rare, intense rainfall events.
  • Terrain in Texas Hill Country and burn scars around Ruidoso are expected to amplify flash flood risks under the forecasted heavy downpours.