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Flamengo Seizes Brasileirão Lead, Becomes Title Favorite After Postponed Round

UFMG's updated model gives Flamengo a 72% title chance, reflecting the advantage often held by the first-turn leader.

Overview

  • Flamengo routed Sport 5–1 in Recife to reach 43 points and clinch the symbolic first-turn title.
  • With the postponed results, Flamengo moved top of the table and overtook Palmeiras in the title race.
  • Palmeiras’ consecutive away defeats, including a loss to Santos, cut their title probability to 26.6% in UFMG’s projections.
  • Cruzeiro sits at 1.4% and Mirassol at 0.011% in the title odds, leaving both as long shots with five rounds remaining.
  • Sport is mathematically relegated, and Santos climbed out of the Z4 by pushing Vitória into the drop zone; next up are Flamengo vs Fluminense and Palmeiras vs Vitória.