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Overview
- Flamengo drew 1–1 at Atlético‑MG thanks to Bruno Henrique’s stoppage‑time header, reaching 75 points and extending the lead to five.
- Palmeiras, fielding a largely reserve side, lost 3–2 to Grêmio in Porto Alegre after leading, with two second‑half penalties conceded and Giay sent off.
- A victory over Ceará at the Maracanã next Wednesday would clinch the league for Flamengo with one round to spare.
- UFMG’s model puts the title chances at roughly 95.9% for Flamengo, 2.9% for Palmeiras and 1.2% for Cruzeiro, which still has a game in hand.
- Both clubs now pivot to the Copa Libertadores final on Saturday in Lima, with Palmeiras’ Abel Ferreira defending his rotation and criticizing recent refereeing.