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Fitch Upgrades Italy to BBB+ With Stable Outlook

Upcoming reviews by S&P, DBRS, Moody’s will test whether the gains endure.

Overview

  • Italy’s sovereign rating was raised from BBB to BBB+ with a stable outlook, marking its strongest standing since 2016 according to reports.
  • Fitch cites greater confidence in the fiscal path, increased prudence in public accounts, political stability, reform momentum, and reduced external imbalances.
  • The agency projects a 2025 deficit of 3.1% of GDP versus a 3.3% target, with gradual improvement through 2027 supported by stronger revenues and spending control.
  • Economy minister Giancarlo Giorgetti welcomed the decision, crediting sustained government work for putting the country on the right track.
  • The move comes as Fitch recently cut France to A+, while attention now turns to Italy’s next assessments: S&P on Oct. 10, DBRS/Morningstar on Oct. 17, and Moody’s on Nov. 21.