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Fitch Lifts Pemex to BB+ on Government-Funded Debt Buyback

Fitch cites stronger state oversight placing Pemex one notch below Mexico’s rating.

Overview

  • The upgrade follows Pemex’s $9.9 billion repurchase of bonds maturing 2026–2029 financed with federal cash, and Fitch removed its prior positive rating watch.
  • Fitch raised its Oversight, Linkage and Support assessment after legislative changes that let Pemex share a debt ceiling with the Finance Ministry.
  • Pemex’s standalone credit profile remains at ccc due to weak liquidity, declining production and persistent losses in refining and commercialization.
  • Financial burdens are still high with about $98.8–99 billion of debt, nearly $23 billion owed to suppliers, and roughly $2 billion in quarterly interest costs as of June.
  • Future rating improvement depends on continued or stronger government support or an upgrade of Mexico’s sovereign rating, while reduced backing could undo the gains.