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Fitch Affirms Iren’s BBB Rating as AI Pivot Targets $3.4 Billion ARR by 2026

After a sharp share pullback, investors refocus on liquidity, execution risk, revenue mix.

Overview

  • Fitch Ratings on Dec. 22 reaffirmed Iren’s long-term credit rating at BBB with a stable outlook, maintaining senior debt at BBB+ and subordinated debt at BBB- after reviewing its 2025–2030 plan.
  • The company projects $3.4 billion in annual recurring revenue from AI infrastructure by the end of 2026, supported by a five-year Microsoft agreement and a reported 5.52 current ratio.
  • Iren reported that 97% of its first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue came from crypto mining, leaving near-term results sensitive to Bitcoin price moves.
  • Shares more than tripled earlier in 2025 before falling over 50% in under two months, with the stock closing at $39.92 on Dec. 19 as it recovered part of the decline.
  • Oracle pushed back on reports suggesting data center delays, including claims about Michigan project financing, a rumor cycle that had weighed on AI-exposed names such as Iren.