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First Continuous Record Links Wordie Ice Shelf Collapse to Ocean Heat

A unique long-term dataset shows basal melting as the primary driver of collapse, refining forecasts of sea level rise.

"Unambiguous Signal" To Curb Emissions Now: Long-Lost Aerial Photos Reveal Evolution Of Antarctic Ice Shelf Collapse

Overview

  • Researchers used structure-from-motion photogrammetry on 1966 aerial photographs combined with modern satellite imagery to build the first continuous multidecadal record of ice shelf collapse.
  • They found that rising sea temperatures driving basal melting under the floating ice shelf were the principal cause of the Wordie Ice Shelf’s disintegration, overturning earlier assumptions about surface melt.
  • The study reveals that once initiated, ice shelf collapse unfolds over a longer timescale than previously believed, making recovery increasingly difficult.
  • Results send an unambiguous signal to prioritize immediate greenhouse gas emissions reductions to slow future Antarctic ice loss.
  • The methodology and findings offer a tool to assess the stability of larger shelves like Ronne and Ross, which contain enough ice to raise global sea levels by as much as five meters if they collapse.