Overview
- Virginia’s gubernatorial polling shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger holding a near–double-digit lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, with nearly 987,000 early votes cast and the state set to elect its first woman governor.
- The Virginia attorney general contest has tightened after Democrat Jay Jones’s 2022 texts about violence surfaced, with recent surveys split between a narrow Jones edge and a lead for GOP incumbent Jason Miyares.
- In New Jersey, Rep. Mikie Sherrill holds a slim polling advantage over Republican Jack Ciattarelli, with final surveys showing a close race in a state where Republicans made gains in 2024.
- California’s Proposition 50 is favored in polls to pass, which would scrap the independent redistricting commission and allow Democrats to redraw congressional lines that party sources say could net up to five House seats.
- In New York City, polling averages show Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani ahead of Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa, while President Trump plans tele-rallies tonight for Virginia and New Jersey as both parties test national clout.