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Final Polls Show Healey With Strong Lead in Massachusetts

Turnout operations driven by opposition to President Trump could determine close races across New England.

Overview

  • Two independent final polls published Monday show Gov. Maura Healey leading Republican Mike Minogue by wide margins, with UNH/7NEWS at about 55% to 36% and WCVB/UMass at about 57% to 32%.
  • The UNH/7NEWS survey finds the New Hampshire governor’s race tied at roughly 48% for Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Ciny Warmington, marking the region’s tightest contest.
  • The same UNH/7NEWS poll shows Democratic leads in nearby Senate races, with Sen. Ed Markey about 21 points ahead of John Deaton and Rep. Chris Pappas roughly 12 points ahead of John Sununu.
  • Both Massachusetts campaigns spent the final days crisscrossing the state to drive turnout, with Healey emphasizing national issues and Minogue urging supporters to dismiss the polls and deliver higher turnout.
  • Pollsters warn these snapshots depend on who votes because heavy early voting and undecided voters could still change margins, and several analysts attribute part of the Democratic edge to regional opposition to President Trump.