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Final Emerson Poll Puts Spanberger Up 11 in Virginia Governor’s Race as Attorney General Contest Nears a Tie

The final Emerson survey highlights a widened gubernatorial margin alongside a toss-up for attorney general shaped by early versus yet-to-vote preferences.

Overview

  • Spanberger leads 55% to 44% in the Oct. 30–31 Emerson/The Hill survey, with her support up three points since last month as men shift to her by six points.
  • The attorney general matchup sits at 49% for Democrat Jay Jones to 47% for Republican incumbent Jason Miyares, with 4% undecided and leans nudging it to 51%–49% for Jones.
  • Early voters favor Jones 56% to 44%, while those yet to vote prefer Miyares 50% to 43%, and men lean toward Miyares as women side with Jones.
  • The economy ranks as the top issue for 39% of voters, and those voters currently favor Spanberger 53% to 46%.
  • President Donald Trump’s job approval stands at 45% approve to 54% disapprove in Virginia, while Gov. Glenn Youngkin is at 49% approve to 39% disapprove, with 13% of Youngkin approvers backing Spanberger.