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Fiestas Patrias Costs Rise 17% as Trade Groups Forecast 37.5 Billion-Peso Spend

Inflation-driven price pressures are reshaping holiday budgets, with revenue set to flow to commerce, tourism and restaurants.

Overview

  • ANPEC estimates a home celebration for 10 people will average about 7,000 pesos in 2025, up 17% from last year, with pozole, other dishes, drinks and decorations driving the increase.
  • Concanaco Servytur projects a national derrama of 37,500 million pesos for the holidays, a 7.1% year-on-year rise, allocating 55% to commerce, 30% to tourism and lodging, 10% to restaurants and entertainment, and 5% to transport and other services.
  • Canaco CDMX forecasts a sector derrama between 11,447 and 11,853 million pesos in the capital, a range that spans from a 1.4% decline to a 1.7% increase versus 2024.
  • Cost comparisons show a family visit to the Zócalo at roughly 5,800 pesos, while bars and restaurants average about 1,400 pesos per person, or up to 14,000 pesos for a group of ten.
  • ANPEC warns a possible IEPS adjustment on beverages could further lift prices and strain small merchants, as consumer agencies highlight lower-cost options such as Profeco’s 490.50‑peso pozole for ten using market purchases.