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FGV–MDS Study: 60.7% of 2014 Bolsa Família Recipients Have Exited by 2025

Exits concentrate among adolescents, which researchers tie to education and health requirements.

Overview

  • Among those who were 15–17 in 2014, 71.25% exited the program and 52.67% left CadÚnico by 2025.
  • In that adolescent group, 28.4% held formal jobs in 2025, according to RAIS employment records.
  • Exit rates were higher in urban and more economically dynamic areas and when the family reference person had formal employment or higher education.
  • Disparities persist, with slower exits for women, rural households, agricultural workers, and residents of the North and Northeast.
  • For beneficiaries on the rolls at the start of 2023, 31.25% had left by October 2025, including 42.59% of 15–17-year-olds, suggesting recent acceleration supported by transition tools such as the Regra de Proteção and Programa Acredita.