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Fernand Stays Over Open Atlantic as Caribbean Disturbance Fizzles

Forecasters expect weakening to begin Monday night with a post-tropical transition by midweek.

An NHC graphic highlights features being monitored in the Eastern Pacific.
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The tropical outlook as of 2 a.m. Monday, Aug. 25, 2025. (NHC)
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Overview

  • Tropical Storm Fernand was about 360 miles east-northeast of Bermuda early Monday with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph, moving north-northeast at roughly 12 mph.
  • National Hurricane Center guidance keeps Fernand well east and northeast of Bermuda over open water with no hazards affecting land.
  • A tropical wave crossing the Windward Islands has shifted into a less favorable environment, and the NHC pegs its development odds at about 10% over the next two to seven days.
  • Gusty winds may linger near the Windward Islands as the disturbance weakens, but significant organization is not anticipated at this time.
  • Broader monitoring continues as NOAA’s updated outlook calls for 13–18 named storms this season, and the NHC is also tracking Pacific Tropical Storm Juliette with no land impacts noted.