Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Shows Cooling, Boosting Rate Cut Hopes
Key inflation metrics indicate easing price pressures, prompting expectations of significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
- The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose just 0.1% month-over-month in August, below Wall Street forecasts.
- Year-over-year, the core PCE index increased by 2.7%, aligning with expectations but still above the Fed's 2% target.
- The likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut in November has increased to 54%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
- Economists predict US inflation will hit the Fed's 2% goal by early 2025, with further rate cuts expected through 2025 and 2026.
- Stock markets responded positively, with the S&P 500 hitting its 42nd record high this year and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising.
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