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Federal Shutdown Likely Oct. 1 After Senate Stalls as Agencies Draft Layoff Plans

Essential staff would work without pay, with contractors bracing for immediate disruption.

Overview

  • Senators left without passing a stopgap after the House approved a GOP continuing resolution, leaving only days to avert a funding lapse.
  • President Trump canceled talks with Democratic leaders and signaled no compromise, while betting markets now put shutdown odds near 70%.
  • OMB instructed agencies to flag programs losing discretionary funds and to prepare reduction-in-force plans that could permanently eliminate positions.
  • Essential operations would continue without pay — including military service, TSA and air traffic control — and troops could miss at least one paycheck if no fix passes by Oct. 15.
  • Travel, parks and federal data releases face disruptions, with U.S. Travel estimating $1 billion in weekly losses, likely closures at many national parks and possible delays to the Oct. 3 jobs report.