Overview
- The Federal Reserve is reevaluating its 2020 monetary policy framework, with discussions focused on addressing inflation risks and labor market dynamics.
- Chair Jerome Powell warned of a potential era of more frequent and persistent supply shocks, complicating the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and full employment.
- Officials are debating a shift from addressing 'shortfalls' in employment to 'deviations,' which could justify rate hikes in tight labor markets.
- Long-term interest rates are expected to remain elevated, with Powell affirming that the era of near-zero rates is unlikely to return soon.
- Evolving trade policies and tariff uncertainties are contributing to inflationary pressures, delaying potential rate cuts.