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Federal Reserve Officials Signal Possible End to Interest Rate Hikes

Inflation's steady decline could lead to a rate cut by spring, suggesting the central bank's aggressive streak of rate hikes might be over.

  • Federal Reserve officials, including Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, have hinted at a possible end to interest rate hikes, with Waller even raising the possibility of a rate cut by spring if inflation continues to slow.
  • The Fed's key short-term rate is currently at 5.4%, the highest in 22 years, and has been raised 11 times since March 2022 in an effort to combat inflation.
  • Inflation, measured year over year, has dropped from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.2% in October.
  • The Fed's next meeting will take place on Dec. 12-13, and investors are overwhelmingly betting that the central bank will hold rates steady.
  • Recent data on hiring, consumer spending, and business activity suggest that economic growth is cooling from its rapid 4.9% annual pace in the July-September quarter, which could help further cool inflation.
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