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Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady While Highlighting Economic Risks from Tariffs

The Fed projects slower growth and higher inflation for 2025, influenced by President Trump's trade policies, while maintaining guidance for two rate cuts this year.

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An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo
Pedestrians wait for a street signal on a sidewalk as an electronic billboard shows the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes in Shanghai, China January 21, 2025.  REUTERS/Go Nakamura/File Photo
U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 19, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Overview

  • The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, citing economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures.
  • The Fed revised its 2025 economic growth forecast downward to 1.7% from 2.1% in December, while raising its inflation projection to 2.7%.
  • Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged tariffs as a key driver of inflation but described their impact as likely temporary, adding that uncertainty remains high.
  • The central bank reaffirmed its guidance for two interest rate cuts in 2025, which helped stabilize financial markets and boost major stock indexes.
  • To support market stability, the Fed announced a slowdown in its balance sheet reduction, known as quantitative tightening.